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Emotive Content and the Societal-System Dynamics of Protracted Social Conflict
with Dr. Monty G. Marshall, Director
Center for Systemic Peace
Hosted by Prof. Dennis Sandole
While armed conflict has continued to diminish across most of the globe since the end of the Cold War and the resulting "peace dividend" has contributed to measureable progress in reducing state fragility, the Middle East region has diverged from the global trends since 2001 and finds itself on the brink of unprecedented humanitarian disaster. Dr. Marshall will discuss the regional dynamics within the framework of Societal-System Dynamics which stresses the importance of Emotive Content and System Dynamics in understanding the problem of collective violence in the Era of Globalization.
Dr. Monty G. Marshall is a macro-comparative researcher and political consultant specializing in complex societal-systems analytics, examining the critical nexus among societal and systemic conflict, governance, and development dynamics with emphasis on the problem of political violence. He established and directs the Center for Systemic Peace (www.systemicpeace.org) and Societal-Systems Research Inc which work together to monitor, produce, and disseminate data informatics on conflict, governance, and development for 168 countries in the world and includes the well-known Polity IV Project. He co-authored the original Minorities at Risk dataset with Ted Gurr. He has served as a senior consultant with the U.S. Government’s Political Instability Task Force since 1998. Dr. Marshall’s global systemic theory is detailed in Third World War: System, Process, and Conflict Dynamics (1999). Recent publications include "Systemic Peacemaking in the Era of Globalization" (2012); "A Global Model for Forecasting Political Instability" (co-author; AJPS 2010), and Global Report 2014: Conflict, Governance, and State Fragility (serial). He is currently producing a video book, titled Managing Complexity in Modern Societal-Systems (two volumes). He has held professorships at the Universities of South Florida and Maryland and George Mason University; he holds degrees from the Universities of Colorado, Maryland, and Iowa.